Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.088238 0.098110 0.108127 0.119022 0.130512 0.142244 0.155101
2025-08-03 0.072168 0.087041 0.102783 0.120559 0.139953 0.160360 0.183349
2025-08-10 0.061702 0.079714 0.099451 0.122394 0.148062 0.175653 0.207325
2025-08-17 0.053157 0.073198 0.095855 0.122858 0.153704 0.187435 0.226726
2025-08-24 0.044235 0.065182 0.089643 0.119527 0.154348 0.193040 0.238712
2025-08-31 0.037168 0.058629 0.084495 0.116836 0.155207 0.198447 0.250079
2025-09-07 0.032985 0.055223 0.082757 0.117845 0.160077 0.208192 0.266155
2025-09-14 0.029851 0.052848 0.082032 0.119853 0.165945 0.218949 0.283274
2025-09-21 0.028109 0.052142 0.083263 0.124139 0.174439 0.232698 0.303797
2025-09-28 0.025379 0.049814 0.082225 0.125456 0.179241 0.242035 0.319147
2025-10-05 0.025794 0.051946 0.087008 0.134092 0.192949 0.261899 0.346793
2025-10-12 0.022781 0.048834 0.084668 0.133555 0.195334 0.268272 0.358610
2025-10-19 0.021502 0.048357 0.086012 0.137978 0.204164 0.282737 0.380460
2025-10-26 0.019022 0.045837 0.084464 0.138620 0.208324 0.291681 0.395924
2025-11-02 0.017158 0.044103 0.083884 0.140440 0.213899 0.302298 0.413362
2025-11-09 0.015104 0.041824 0.082379 0.140915 0.217689 0.310689 0.428105
2025-11-16 0.012226 0.037740 0.077998 0.137309 0.216109 0.312388 0.434712
2025-11-23 0.009885 0.034257 0.074264 0.134397 0.215271 0.314884 0.442182
2025-11-30 0.008687 0.032791 0.073484 0.135489 0.219565 0.323675 0.457228
2025-12-07 0.007825 0.031886 0.073508 0.137661 0.225243 0.334170 0.474338
2025-12-14 0.007503 0.032093 0.075274 0.142293 0.234161 0.348715 0.496394
2025-12-21 0.006630 0.030955 0.074818 0.143715 0.238812 0.357915 0.511933
2025-12-28 0.007185 0.033158 0.079832 0.153031 0.253975 0.380330 0.543663